blake ellis
blake ellis - broker
portland area real estate, redefined

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Is a housing shortage coming??

Blake Ellis - Tuesday, June 15, 2010
I just saw this interesting article online and thought I'd pass it along for your enjoyment :)~
____
Is a Housing Shortage Coming? 
Some experts are saying that the next big real estate problem could be a shortage of homes.

Only 672,000 new homes were started in April. That’s less than half the number needed to meet the country’s average population growth.

In the past, an average of more than 1.3 million households have been built each year, creating demand for 1.5 million new homes. In 2009, only 398,000 new households were formed, according to the Census Bureau.

"The decline in household formation is artificial," says James Gaines, a real estate economist with Texas A&M. "The young are moving in with their parents. There's even doubling up among working-class people. There's a pent-up demand coming if and when the economy recovers."

Some economists believe this analysis fails to take into account the changing economy or the large inventory of vacant properties. But Gaines and others say these factors are unlikely to significantly drive down demand.

Source: CNNMoney.com, Les Christie (06/15/2010)

Portland, Oregon's March Real Estate Market Highlights

Blake Ellis - Friday, April 16, 2010
This month's numbers for Portland Oregon real estate show continued improvement.  Pending and sold listings increased significantly this month as well.  Compared to the same quarter last year, closed sales are up almost 40% 

For more detailed information, see the full market action report by clicking here.

Portland Metro's October Real Estate Statistics..

Blake Ellis - Thursday, November 12, 2009
We're seeing continued movement in the Portland, Oregon real estate market.  Inventory is down to a 2 year low of 6.5 months.  This is paired with an increase both in pending sales and closed sales.  The 64% increase in pending sales is the largest same-month increase since February 1996! 

For more detailed information on what's happening in your Portland, Oregon area neighborhood, check out this link to the latest real estate statistics.  Also, always feel free to call or email me with specific questions you might have!
 

Click here to read the report!

Be well!
-Blake

Breaking news regarding homebuyer credits..

Blake Ellis - Wednesday, October 28, 2009
It seems that Congress has decided to extend the life of the first time homebuyer credit that has been nearing expiration in the coming months.  We will also apparently see an expansion of the program to include other purchasers who are moving from a home where they've lived for five or more years. 

Take a peek at this link for more info!  Always feel free to call or email me with questions!

http://www.kptv.com/money/21456362/detail.html?treets=ptl1&tml=ptl1_natlbreak&ts=T&tmi=ptl1_natlbreak_1_04440110282009

Portland, Oregon Real Estate News: Inventory Down, Sales Up!

Blake Ellis - Thursday, October 15, 2009

Fall has arrived, and some good news is coming out of the Portland, Oregon real estate market.  RMLS released the Portland Metro Area real estate market statistics today, and inventory is down slightly from last month.  In addition, pending and closed sales are both up!  Great rates and the First Time Homebuyer tax credits are certainly helping the market!  There still may be time to just make the deadline to qualify for the credit, so if you're on the fence - it's a good time to consider a purchase...  Click the statistics below for the full report!  For specific information on what's happening in your Portland, Oregon neigbhorhood, feel free to call or email me! 

The upside of getting into real estate ownership now!

Blake Ellis - Wednesday, October 07, 2009
The Importance of Acting Now
Waiting Really Could Cost You

Low interest rates this year have lulled many people into believing that home loan rates in the 5.00% and lower range are "normal". This is not the case and if you are in the position where you could refinance or are considering buying a home, complacency is not your friend.

Stimulus provided by the Obama administration has been instrumental in creating the environment that has lowered rates, increased home sales and assisted distressed homeowners.

Uncle Sam Lends a Temporary Hand
Tick tock, tick tock. Just as summer turned to fall on September 22nd, deadlines await two programs that supplied the heat directed at the housing markets.

Government programs in the housing and interest rate arenas are slated to end in coming months. The time to take advantage of these programs is now. Stimulus programs from Washington have led to incentives for first time home buyers (FTHB), artificially low interest rates, and typically unallowable refinance transactions.

Infinite stimulus for the housing sector is not in the cards nor is it reasonable to expect. Deadlines are approaching. Whether you want to buy a home or need to refinance one, do not procrastinate. The best path is to investigate options now before you may find that none are available to you.

First Time Home buyer Alert
If you are a FTHB who wants to take advantage of the tax credit, think two words. GET BUSY. The tax credit of up to $8,000 is set to expire November 30th. While there is talk that this program may be extended, nothing is certain and millions of FTHBs have already taken advantage of the credit. With real estate closings taking as long as 60-90 days, according the National Association of Realtors, you need to get under contract shortly if you want to take advantage of the tax credit.

Home prices are down significantly across the country from their high points the past few years. However, median home prices in August were up 7.8% from their low point earlier this year. If you have been waiting for home prices to decline further, perhaps you should not. Great opportunities are available but many real estate agents report multiple contracts being offered on hot properties. If you wait, you may be disappointed.

Check with your mortgage professional to see if he or she can accommodate you if you go under contract in the next two weeks. Many lenders will still be able to help you but only if you have all your paperwork in order.

Rates Are Great – NOW!
Interest rates dipped in late September to near the lowest points ever recorded. As reported by Freddie Mac, rates for conforming loans approached 5.00% for a 30 year fixed rate and below 4.50% for a 15 year fixed rate with additional fees paid to obtain these rates. Rates for FHA, VA, and USDA Guaranteed loans typically offer slightly higher rates.

There is one reason that home loan rates are as low as they are. Last November the Federal Reserve announced a program to purchase up to $1.25 Trillion in mortgage backed securities. This effort lowered rates to the lowest level of all time and has kept rates, according to Freddie Mac, below 5.50% this year compared to rates as high as 6.48% last year for a 30 year fixed rate.

This program was slated to end December 31st of this year but in September's Federal Open Market Committee meeting, it was announced that the program will be extended to the end of the first quarter of 2010. However, the amount the Fed will purchase will not change.

Peter Hooper, chief economist at Deutsche Bank, told Bloomberg that a sudden end to the Fed purchases could cause rates to rise by a half to one percentage point. If you delay your financing, you could well see rates that are significantly higher than what is available today.

Upside Down – Refinance to 125% of Value
Even if you owe up to 125% more on your mortgage than your home is worth, you may be able to refinance. For example, if your home is worth $200,000 but you owe more than that, qualifying homeowners can now refinance up to $250,000.

The Making Home Affordable program was initially structured to accommodate homeowners with a new loan to 105% of their home's value. This has recently been increased to 125%. There are requirements to qualify including whether your loan is currently owned by either Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. You can find out if your loan is held by either agency by going to the Loan Lookup section of the Making Home Affordable web site.

According to First American Core Logic, more than 15.2 million homes had negative equity in June of this year. This represents nearly 33% of all mortgaged properties across the country. Where in the past, being upside down on your loan would have precluded your ability to seek relief, you now may have an opportunity.

What Now?
With incredibly low interest rates and current stimulus programs available to help many, explore the options that may best suit you but do so quickly. However, just as you wouldn't go out Trick or Treating on November 1st, options that exist today may not be available to you should you wait.

Contact your mortgage professional today to explore the best path to take. You may find that the best "treat" available is one that puts thousands of dollars in your pocket.

This great information was provided courtesy of Clayton Scott of Windermere Mortgage Services. 
Clayton Scott
Branch Manager/Mortgage Consultant
Windermere Mortgage Services LLC/AT
Phone: 503-497-5060
Fax: 503-497-5264
cscott@windermere.com
www.windermeremortgageservices.com/cscott

August 2009 Real Estate Statistics for Portland, Oregon

Blake Ellis - Thursday, September 24, 2009
Take a look at the latest market action report for Portland, Oregon area real estate.  Inventory is up just a little bit this month compared to last month.  In the Portland Metro area, there are currently 7.8 months of available inventory.  We're getting back to more normal levels of active real estate listings!  Take a look at the report, and find out more about what's happening in your area.  Remember - all real estate is local, so if you'd like to learn more about real estate statistics for your Portland neighborhood, just let me know! blake@ellisnw.com

June's First Thursday Condo Updates...

Blake Ellis - Thursday, June 04, 2009
Hello!
Happy First Thursday!  Below, I've included the list of condos in 97209, 97210, 97205 (the downtown core) that have closed in the last month.  Activity is picking up!  See below. 
Building Name  Street Address  # of Bedrooms  # of Bathrooms  Square Footage  # of Parking Spaces  Sold Price 
Lexis  1125 NW 9th Ave #410  527  $105,000 
Royal Arms  1829 NW Lovejoy St #411  300  $119,900 
Irving Street Towers  2109 NW Irving St #308  399  $126,000 
Embassy  2015 NW Flanders St #103  524  $135,000 
McCormick Pier  606 Naito Parkway A-7  746  $140,000 
McCormick Pier  930 Naito Parkway K -25  690  $149,000 
Gallery Condominiums  2076 NW Johnson St #204  404  $160,000 
Gallery Condominiums  2076 NW Johnson St #103  466  $167,000 
Lexis  1125 NW 9th Ave #413  566 $170,000 
Gallery Condominiums  2076 NW Johnson St #203  393 $174,000 
Streetcar Lofts  1030 NW 12th Ave #214  471  $205,500 
Lexis  1125 NW 9th Ave #103  875  $220,000 
The Vaux  2335 NW Raleigh St #229  706  $252,000 
Pacifica  1830 NW Riverscape St #608  663  $260,000 
937  937 NW Glisan St #334  968  $270,000 
Irving Street Lofts  1314 NW Irving St #302  1109 $270,000 
Bridgeport  1130 NW 12th Ave #610  765  $305,000 
Edge Lofts  1410 NW Kearney St #625  1021  $320,000 
Shoreline Condominiums  2144 NW 16th Ave  2.5  1614  $325,000 
937  937 NW Glisan St #532  943  $328,950 
The Terraces  720 NW Westover Cir  1145  $353,000 
The Barrington  2182 NW Hoyt St  1332  $361,500 
Shoreline Condominiums  1602 NW Riverscape St   3.5  1769  $367,500 
Lexis  1125 NW 9th Ave #401  1103  $369,000 
Irving House  2257 NW Irving St #2  1403  $370,000 
Block 90  323 NW 13th Ave #404  787  $372,000 
937  937 NW Glisan St #1032  945  $380,000 
Block 90  323 NW 13th Ave #403  810  $389,000 
Metropolitan  1001 NW Lovejoy St #502  873  $390,000 
The Westerly  2351 NW Westover Rd #603  1120  $430,000 
Cambridge Townhomes  635 NW 24th Ave #2  2.5  1826  $460,000 
Elizabeth Lofts 333 NW 9th Ave #804  1516  $539,000 
Elizabeth Lofts 333 NW 9th Ave #912  1402  $585,000 
Elizabeth Lofts  333 NW 9th Ave #1104  1564  $589,000 
Cambridge Townhomes  641 NW 24th Ave #1  2.5  2194  $610,000 
The Eliot  1221 SW 10th Ave #501  2.5  2056  $800,000 
The Henry  1025 NW Couch St #510  2041  $1,143,000 
Pinnacle  1255 NW 9th Ave #1402  2.5  1947  $1,390,000 
The Henry  1025 NW Couch St #1413  2.5  2801  $2,160,000 
The Casey  311 NW 12th Ave #1601  4.5  4498  $2,700,000 
             

First Thursday Condo Updates

Blake Ellis - Thursday, April 02, 2009
This month, I've expanded this list of closed transactions to include more of the downtown core - so NW and SW Portland are included here.  Activity is increasing!  For more information on Portland's Downtown, Pearl District, or South Waterfront condos, feel free to call or email me any time.  I'm here to help.
-Blake Ellis
 Building Name     Street Address    # of Bedrooms  # of Bathrooms   Square Footage # of Parking Spaces   Price
 Royal Arms  1829 NW Lovejoy St #404  1  1  571  0  $205,000
 Harrison East  111 SW Harrison St #11E  1  1  583  1  $216,000
 Old Town Lofts  411 NW Flanders St #605  1  1  727  1  $227,000
 Pinnacle  1255 NW 9th Ave #502  1  1  861  1  $240,000
 Cambridge  2454 NW Westover Rd #A203  1  1.5  865  0  $250,000
   2406 NW Overton St #4  2  1  873  0  $250,000
 The Edge  1410 NW Kearney St #618  1  1  847  1  $250,000
 The Vaux  2350 NW Savier St #B334  1  1  810  1  $317,000
 The Gregory  420 NW 11th Ave #806  1  1  809  1  $345,000
 The Portland Plaza  1500 SW 5th Ave #1105  2  2  1319  1  $406,000
 The Westover  2445 NW Westover Rd #301  2  1  1278  2  $454,900
 937 Condos      937 NW Glisan St #835  2  2  1101  1  $458,591
 The Westover      2445 NW Westover Rd #407  2  2.5  1976  2  $500,000
 Cambridge Townhomes  629 NW 24th Ave #3  2  2.5  2194  2  $595,000
 The Eliot  1221 SW 10th Ave #902  2  2  1379  1  $645,000
 The Jefferson  1234 SW 18th Ave #505  2  2  1466  1  $649,000
 The Vaux  2350 NW Savier St #412  3  2.5  1974  2  $775,000
 The Westover      2445 NW Westover Rd #208  2  2.5  2442  2  $850,000

The Waterfront Pearl Project Resumes

Blake Ellis - Thursday, March 26, 2009
 

 According to the Daily Journal of Commerce, good news has arrived for current and future owners of the Waterfront Pearl Project, which sits along the banks of the Willamette River in Portland, Oregon's Pearl District neighborhood.  After several months of a complete stand-still resulting from a lien placed on the building's developer, an Australia based bank, now the primary construction lender, has paid the lien in full, allowing the building to be completed.

Hoffman Construction, the general contractor for the Waterfront Pearl project, had nearly completed the project when these issues arose.  Now, Hoffman is back on the job, working to finish the building's extensive water feature and lingering touch up items. 

Waterfront Pearl is a two tower condominium development that is very conceptual - all things water come together in this 192 unit project in the Pearl District.  Now, with the lien issues resolved, the development team can focus on a more important job - getting those units sold! 


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